Turn Four RacingTurn Four Racing Get the weekly email →
Track Page | New Hampshire Motor Speedway | Loudon, New Hampshire

New Hampshire Motor Speedway by the Numbers

Why qualifying decides this race now, the dominator problem, Hamlin's 798 laps led, and every Loudon number worth knowing before Sunday.

By Michael · August 20, 2026 · 7 min read
New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Loudon used to be a track you could win from anywhere. It is not that track anymore. The last four winners here started 5th, 2nd, 4th and 2nd, and every driver who has ever won this race from outside the top 10 did it before 2022. Qualifying is now the tell. That is the argument; the numbers below are the case.
Satellite view of New Hampshire Motor Speedway, the 1.058-mile flat oval in Loudon
New Hampshire Motor Speedway from above: the 1.058-mile flat oval. Imagery: Google.
How we classify it

Flat, and technical. In our system New Hampshire carries the same two tags as Richmond. The format is Flat: a low-banking oval where the driver matters more than the car. The skill tag is Technical Oval: the bucket for tracks where precision and tire management beat raw pace. Both classifications carry weight in the projection model, so who has been good on these track types this season is not trivia. It is an input.

Best on flat tracks this season · avg running position · 8 races
#11Hamlin6.3
#12Blaney8.6
#54Gibbs9.8
Best on technical ovals this season · same metric · 7 races
#12Blaney6.3
#11Hamlin6.9
#22Logano7.6

The two lists barely move: Denny Hamlin and Ryan Blaney sit one-two on both, in opposite order. Track-type form is one of the signals inside Thursday's projections; the full track profiles live in the research library.

How this track races

The front row became the whole race. Since 2005 the average winner here started 10.3, and 15 of 34 winners came from outside the top 10. Every one of those 15 happened before 2022. The four races since then went 5, 2, 4, 2.

18198114144225242
Winner start position, last 12 New Hampshire races (oldest to newest). Red = outside the top 10.

Only 13 of 34 dominators won. Races since 2005 won by the driver who led the most laps. Leading here has never been the same thing as winning here, which is what makes the new track-position era worth noticing.

34 races since 2005. Red = the driver who led the most laps also won.

One groove, and almost no banking. The corners are banked between 2 and 7 degrees and the straights are nearly flat. There is one preferred lane, passing is hard, and clean air is worth more here than at most ovals on the schedule.

Every race week we send one email: full projections for every race on the schedule, and where our numbers disagree with the salaries. Free, every Thursday.

Get the Thursday email
The record book

19 different winners in 34 races. Wins since 2005. Nobody has run away with this place.

4Harvick4
#11Hamlin3
18K. Busch3
20Kenseth3
#6Keselowski2
Most laps led since 2005
78Truex Jr.1,170
18K. Busch1,134
Stewart971
#11Hamlin798
4Harvick774

Denny Hamlin has led 798 laps here and is the only driver in Sunday's field inside the top three all-time. He also has the most starts of anyone entered, and three wins.

Josh Berry has the best average in the field. Josh Berry has two Cup starts at Loudon, 3rd in 2024 and 2nd in 2025, for a 2.5 average finish. Two races is two races, but nobody else entered is under 9.

The field, by the numbers

The entered field

Dollar Tree 301 entry list · records since 2005 · Avg column shaded: deeper red = better
DriverStartsWinsTop 10AvgLaps led
#21Josh Berry222.510
#11Denny Hamlin323199.9798
#5Kyle Larson15910.926
#6Brad Keselowski2521611.0598
#20Christopher Bell62411.2192
#19Chase Briscoe5312.825
#45Tyler Reddick6312.853
#12Ryan Blaney131513.5185
#9Chase Elliott12413.9143
#77Carson Hocevar214.0
#22Joey Logano2721514.4279
#24William Byron8115.39
#1Ross Chastain7415.43
#3Austin Dillon16217.415
#43Erik Jones10217.84
#7Daniel Suarez10318.3
#2Austin Cindric418.5
#34Todd Gilliland419.319
#47Ricky Stenhouse Jr.18320.314
#60Ryan Preece720.6
#23Bubba Wallace8220.8
#17Chris Buescher12120.8
#41Cole Custer5121.6
#35Riley Herbst122.0
#16A.J. Allmendinger22122.113
#10Ty Dillon923.0
#48Alex Bowman14123.7
#4Noah Gragson325.0
#42John Hunter Nemechek3126.0
#54Ty Gibbs326.0
#38Zane Smith228.5
#71Michael McDowell23129.81
#97Shane van Gisbergen132.0
#51Cody Ware432.82
#33Austin Hill
#88Connor Zilisch

Every New Hampshire Cup winner since 2005

RaceWinnerStartedLed
Jul 2005Tony Stewart13232
Sep 2005Ryan Newman1366
Jul 2006Kyle Busch4107
Sep 2006Kevin Harvick1196
Jul 2007Denny Hamlin1146
Sep 2007Clint Bowyer1222
Jun 2008Kurt Busch2610
Sep 2008Greg Biffle958
Jun 2009Joey Logano2410
Sep 2009Mark Martin1468
Jun 2010Jimmie Johnson109
Sep 2010Clint Bowyer2177
Jul 2011Ryan Newman1119
Sep 2011Tony Stewart202
Jul 2012Kasey Kahne266
Sep 2012Denny Hamlin32193
Jul 2013Brian Vickers1316
RaceWinnerStartedLed
Sep 2013Matt Kenseth9106
Jul 2014Brad Keselowski7138
Sep 2014Joey Logano773
Jul 2015Kyle Busch496
Sep 2015Matt Kenseth1327
Jul 2016Matt Kenseth1838
Sep 2016Kevin Harvick198
Jul 2017Denny Hamlin854
Sep 2017Kyle Busch1187
Jul 2018Kevin Harvick1412
Jul 2019Kevin Harvick1441
Aug 2020Brad Keselowski4184
Jul 2021Aric Almirola2225
Jul 2022Christopher Bell542
Jul 2023Martin Truex Jr.2254
Jun 2024Christopher Bell4149
Sep 2025Ryan Blaney2116

Full New Hampshire projections, re-simmed through practice, qualifying, and driver news. The dynamic projections page is $5 a month; Pro opens the whole site.

See the projectionsPlans, from $5 a month